Uncertainty

There are two ways to look at uncertainty in relation to argumentation: considering how aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty affect the evaluation and communication of arguments; and considering how arguments might address ontological uncertainty of the sort discussed in Radical Uncertainty and Puzzles and Mysteries.

Links

Assessing and communicating uncertainty

• Uncertainty Toolkit for Analysts in Government
• The Aqua Book: guidance on producing quality analysis for government
• Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication